April 5, 2011

Watching the election results.

Results reported here.

On the TV station we're watching, News 3, with 6% in, Prosser and Kloppenburg are tied at 50%.

UPDATE, 8:50: 51% Prosser, 49% Kloppenburg, with 9% reporting.

UPDATE, 8:55: According to the Milwaukee State Journal, with 11% reporting, it's 51% Prosser, 49% Kloppenburg.

UPDATE, 9:30: On TV, they seem to be pre-spinning a Kloppenburg loss, saying what an amazing thing it is that she has come close to beating an incumbent.

UPDATE, 9:36: 34% reporting, David Prosser 265,662 (50%), Joanne Kloppenburg 263,356 (50%).

UPDATE, 9:54: With 49% in, News 3 has Prosser at 51% and Kloppenburg at 49%.

UPDATE, 11:08: Paul Soglin has won the mayoral race. He's speaking now, looking extremely tired.

UPDATE, 11:14: Kloppenburg had gone up, but now they're back even at 50%.

UPDATE, 11:35: Concentrating on the AP numbers, looking at which counties still need to report, I'm irritated by the way Waukesha (strong for Prosser) and Dane (strong for Kloppenburg) seem to be holding out, like it's a game of chicken. Right now the candidates are 50-50%, with Prosser up 6,000+. It's been seesawing back and forth, with Kloppenburg up some of the time. To my eye, it looks as though there are more votes left to report in the places that are pro-Prosser, so I think in the end Prosser will squeak by.

UPDATE, 11:43: Dane (Madison's county) is nearly all in. I don't see how Kloppenburg can net more than about 3,000 with what's left of Dane. Waukesha is now shown as completely in, but the numbers didn't change, so I think something may have been misreported. I took the trouble to do a calculation and was going to predict that Prosser would net 40,000 more votes in Waukesha. What happened?

UPDATE, 11:55: There will be a recount, I assume. All those absentee ballots. The possibility of some fraud. It's nearly midnight here. Maybe we won't know the answer for days.

621 comments:

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Roger J. said...

King County WA is to Gregoire as Dane County WI is to Kberg

Keep counting until you find enough vogtes to put your dem over the top

Lem the artificially intelligent said...

..would such a narrow win suggest the people wanted her to change the rules?

The election is a mere formality.. a little bump in the road to killing the bill.

Michael said...

Conservatives have a chance now to pull a Reagan and force more expenditures by the unions. I would think they are close to being tapped out not only in Wisconsin but in other jurisdictions as well.

damikesc said...

I love the Dems trying to spin this as anything but a disaster. With all of their resources thrown into this, it will take fraud for the Klap to win.

Martha said...

This morning Prosser ahead.

Barely.

He is going to get Frankenized.

Bill said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Bill said...

"I love the Dems trying to spin this as anything but a disaster"

Considering Prosser was up by 30 points at the beginning of the election (before the bill) and the Democrats were outspent by 50%, I actually think this sentiment goes the other way. Besides, the fact that absentee ballots still need to be counted doesn't bode well for Prosser.

Still, and I reiterate: these comments are hilarious. I know AA is well aware how batshit insane most of her commenters are, even if she'd never admit it out loud.

damikesc said...

Where are you getting that Prosser supporters outspent the Klap's by 50%. News stories indicated the opposite.

This was a "referendum" on a bll "everybody" hated...and it will take the usual Dem vote fraud to win.

Disaster for the unions.

DADvocate said...

how batshit insane most of her commenters are,...

You mean, let me understand this cause, ya know maybe it's me, I'm a little fucked up maybe, but I'm crazy how, I mean crazy like I'm a clown, I amuse you? I make you laugh, I'm here to fuckin' amuse you? What do you mean crazy, crazy how? How am I crazy?

Fen said...

Poor Ren, nothing left but to go for the ad hom.

Drew said...

Too close to call, which means a clear Kloppenburg win. Has a Republican ever won a recount?


Would barely squeaking out a win via a recount be a mandate? . . . would such a narrow win suggest the people wanted her to change the rules?

If a Democrat wins by one vote it's considered a mandate for Democrats. Heck, a lose by one vote is a mandate for Democrats.

Automatic_Wing said...

According to that PoliSci professor, Wisconsin is too "nice" to have any problems with voter fraud, so no worries.

Such a thing is impossible in a state that's literally oozing with wholesomeness.

sane_voter said...

I am cautiously optimistic. According to the Journal Sentinel, the last two Milwaukee precincts are located in an area that gave Prosser 63%. Given he has an 835 vote margin, he may yet eek it out.

Lincolntf said...

Ha.
I'm still eagerly awaiting the final results, but watching all the Libs squirm, equivocate and just flat out lie about what we've been watching for a solid month is priceless.

Guess what, Liberals? Even Wisconsinites hate your fucking guts.

Bill said...

"Where are you getting that Prosser supporters outspent the Klap's by 50%. News stories indicated the opposite."

Obviously, you are incapable of reading. Conservatives spent $2.2 million on this race, while the left spent $1.4. Now, I'm not sure how good you are at math, but 2.2 is a greater number than 1.4.

http://host.madison.com/wsj/news/local/govt-and-politics/elections/article_973f5014-5fe2-11e0-abe0-001cc4c002e0.html

Cindy Martin said...

I don't think the unions will run out of money. They have an endless supply of money from Obama.
Check this out. I am steamed!!
http://www.boortz.com/weblogs/jamie-dupree/2011/apr/01/health-law-payments/

sane_voter said...

Location and status of the remaining 24 precincts, Prosser leads by 835 votes.

Prosser Klopp
Ashland 22/28 1,037 2,504
Crawford 25/27 1,689 2,428
Dane 247/248 48,627 133,513
Dunn 38/40 3,790 4,649
Jeff'son40/41 12,860 9,365
Juneau 28/29 2,337 2,546
Milw'ke 484/486 98,933 128,644
Sauk 31/39 6,166 7,625
Taylor 29/30 3,602 2,266

DADvocate said...

If Kloppendale wins, I'm boycotting Wisconsin. No cheese, never visiting and I'm rooting da Bears.

Lem the artificially intelligent said...

It looks like they found a trunk.

3620/3630
738,228 50% P
738,368 50% K

damikesc said...

Congrats Dems. Another election stolen.

We should outlaw Dems from counting votes. They seem bad at it until they know a tally that is needed to win.

Alena Harrison said...

I wondered about that too - Waukesha's votes coming in and the numbers didn't change - seemed odd.

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