September 10, 2011

Democrats may lose the seat vacated by Anthony Weiner.

The Republican has a 6-point lead in a new poll.

Whoever wins won't be able to run for reelection, because the district — in Brooklyn and Queens — has been redistricted out of existence, but the special election has symbolic importance.

CORRECTION: The redistricting hasn't happened yet. There's merely talk of eliminating this district. The state of New York is losing 2 districts after the 2010 census.

14 comments:

Jason (the commenter) said...

Whoever wins won't be able to run for reelection, because the district — in Brooklyn and Queens — has been redistricted out of existence...

The article only says they've discussed redistricting it and that the redistricting doesn't happen until next year, which doesn't mean it's a sure thing.

Ann Althouse said...

@Jason Thanks. Will correct.

Patrick said...

Even if it won't last (and probably, it wouldn't last beyond the next election even if the district wasn't going to be eliminated), it is hilarious. The darling of the left has really screwed them this time.

Steve Austin said...

I'd like some blogger or analyst to do an in depth column on how Obamacare might be repealed in Jan 2013 assuming that the GOP wins back the Senate and the Presidency.

Do they need 60 filibuster proof votes? If there were 54 GOP Senators are there 6 dems vulnerable to siding with them? Would the President have the ability to issue waivers for the whole thing to the States as Romney claimed?

Same question for Dodd Frank.

AllenS said...

Steve, do you realize that there are two RINO Senators from Maine that you cannot count on?

WV: jection

Missing prefix.

Kirby Olson said...

If the Republican wins they'll get rid of the district.

edutcher said...

When Weiner showed his wiener, he forgot he represented a very devout district.

Whether this is the beginning of a sea change, we'll see.

But what has the Democrat Party worried is that it's happening at all. If the seat goes R, watch for a substantive primary challenge for the former "sort of God".

And I don't mean Kucinich.

AllenS said...

Steve, do you realize that there are two RINO Senators from Maine that you cannot count on?

In all point of fact, there are no RINOs you an count on.

Big Mike said...

The redistricting hasn't happened yet. There's merely talk of eliminating this district.

Kirby's right. If Turner wins this district is history.

PaulV said...

Congress is not needed as Obama's Executive Presidency has shown. Abolish by Fiat.

Fred4Pres said...

If the Republican wins it likely will not be redistricted. Why? Because in New York, the tradition of the parties is the GOP loses a seat upstate and the Dems lose a seat downstate. They would have to redistrict now, before the election.

If the dems wins however, then this seat likely will go. Ironic.

Cedarford said...

AllenS said...
Steve, do you realize that there are two RINO Senators from Maine that you cannot count on?

==================
Maine is not JesusLand. They eat clam chowder, not hushpuppies. The Maine Ladies vote the Republican way 85% of the time. But still have to listen to their Constituents. Maine is not Alabama.

The older male/Regious Right purists that scream "RINO"!! appear to believe that it is better that many states elect Democrats, and control the Senate and Oval Office than lose that purity by electing moderate Republicans. That better a 95% liberal Democrat wins than a 85% Republican because purging RINO apostates "Sends a Message"!! - like the message Sen Reid and Sen Coons surely got and heeded when they went to the Senate for 6 years thanks to the selection of Sharron Angle and "perky" Christine.

Somewhere, a belief arose, (similar to liberal beliefs about the hard Left and the elevation of McGovern) that the "table was set" by the Noble Loss of the Goldwater Debacle. Redeemed by Reagan, just as Clinton's time showed the wisdom of McGovern.

It ignores that the Republican Party was rebuilt as moderate-Centrist after Goldwater and his supporters nearly destroyed it as a national power (allowing Dems full power in the 60s to stack SCOTUS and create the welfare state). People like Nixon, Scranton, George Romney, and a Reagan that would be banned from conservative gatherings today and by Grover Norquist if a modern version showed up and ran on his California record and policies.

Steven said...

I'd like some blogger or analyst to do an in depth column on how Obamacare might be repealed in Jan 2013 assuming that the GOP wins back the Senate and the Presidency.

Easy. If you've got fifty votes and a Vice-President, the House passes a bill, and the Senate you kill it through the budget reconciliation procedure, and the filibuster is of no relevance.

Trooper York said...

This seat is heavily influenced by the Orthodox Jewish community and they vote like one man.

If the Democrats have lost them they have lost a lot.

Ciarand Denlane said...

No matter what happens with the district, won't the winner of this election be able to run again. He'll have to be living in some district. Granted, the geographic boundaries won't be the same as the current district, but that will be true for almost every district, especially in a state like NY that is losing seats.